Wrexham 3-0 Exeter City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 29% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
12%
14.35
X/1
12%
4.21
X/2
14%
8.27
X/X
10%
4.94
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
9%
6.32
2/X
8%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Exeter City EU Bookmakers 27%
+16% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +19%
1.03/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.41
+7% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
271 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 70%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.7 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Exeter City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
04.03.2003 Exeter City Exeter City 1-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
17.09.2002 Wrexham Wrexham 4-0 HT 2-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
3-0
AWAY Exeter City
2.17 xG 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 9
348 Passes 413
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Exeter City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham ran out comfortable winners over Exeter City 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wrexham had 46% of the ball to Exeter City's 54%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.17 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wrexham and 0.50 for Exeter City.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Exeter City?

Wrexham 3-0 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Exeter City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 42%, draw 29%, Exeter City 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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