Stockport County 2-1 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
10%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.98
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.1
X/1
15%
3.84
X/2
13%
11.85
X/X
16%
4.95
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
8%
10.8
2/X
5%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +37%
1.79/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.43
-2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +17%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
369 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 64%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.6 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Burton Albion
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.27 xG 0.36
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
477 Passes 304
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.11.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-3 HT 0-2 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
12.03.2011 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN2
02.10.2010 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-1 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
2-1
AWAY Burton Albion
2.02 xG 1.49
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
335 Passes 355
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County squeezed past Burton Albion 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stockport County had 47% of the ball to Burton Albion's 53%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 2.02 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stockport County and 0.67 for Burton Albion.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Burton Albion?

Stockport County 2-1 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 46%, draw 28%, Burton Albion 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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