Burton Albion 0-3 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

Burton Albion
0-3 HT 0-2
Stockport County
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Burton Albion vs Stockport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.58
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
15.15
X/1
8%
8.29
X/2
18%
4.15
X/X
10%
4.62
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.5
2/X
6%
14.45
Value flag · 1/X at 15.15 — our 11% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burton Albion v Stockport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 55%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.06/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.01
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +92%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
231 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.7 Crosses 14.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0

Burton Albion vs Stockport County Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Stockport County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
12.03.2011 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN2
02.10.2010 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-1 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2

Burton Albion 0-3 Stockport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
0-3
AWAY Stockport County
0.36 xG 2.27
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
304 Passes 477
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County ran out comfortable winners over Burton Albion 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Burton Albion had 41% of the ball to Stockport County's 59%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.36 to 2.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Burton Albion had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Burton Albion and 0.50 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Stockport County?

Burton Albion 0-3 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 25%, draw 27%, Stockport County 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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