Walton & Hersham 1-1 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.29
Over 2.5
69%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.63
No
34%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.8pp
31%
Under 2.5
40%
-9.0pp
69%
Over 2.5
60%
+9.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
57%
+8.8pp
34%
BTTS No
43%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walton & Hersham EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.32/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.18
+11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walton & Hersham
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
24.09.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
03.02.2024 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 1-2 HT 1-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
23.09.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 3-3 HT 1-2 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walton & Hersham
1-1
AWAY Basingstoke Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Walton & Hersham vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walton & Hersham and Basingstoke Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Walton & Hersham at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (66%) landed while over 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

On the day, Walton & Hersham had 52% of the ball to Basingstoke Town's 48%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Basingstoke Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Walton & Hersham and 2.00 for Basingstoke Town.

What was the final score of Walton & Hersham vs Basingstoke Town?

Walton & Hersham 1-1 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walton & Hersham vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walton & Hersham win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Walton & Hersham 55%, draw 27%, Basingstoke Town 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walton & Hersham), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walton & Hersham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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