Real Sociedad 2-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 29 Mar 2025

Real Sociedad
2-1 HT 1-0
Valladolid
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Sociedad vs Valladolid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
11%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.67
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
18.95
X/1
17%
3.78
X/2
6%
17.05
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
7%
16.4
2/X
7%
22.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Valladolid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.60/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.21
-19% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
19.3 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Real Sociedad vs Valladolid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Valladolid
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.29 xG 0.98
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
403 Passes 227
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Valladolid Valladolid 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
05.02.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
22.10.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
16.05.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-1 HT 4-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
13.09.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
28.02.2020 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1

Real Sociedad 2-1 Valladolid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
2-1
AWAY Valladolid
0.69 xG 0.72
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
410 Passes 293
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad edged past Valladolid 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 55% of the ball to Valladolid's 45%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.69 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.67 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Valladolid?

Real Sociedad 2-1 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 58%, draw 24%, Valladolid 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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