Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Alaves v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
2-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
Deportivo Alaves 0-2 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano saw off Deportivo Alaves 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 56% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 44%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.49 to 0.59 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Alaves.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.00 for Rayo Vallecano.
What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?
Deportivo Alaves 0-2 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 43%, draw 28%, Rayo Vallecano 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) went the other way.