Espanyol 1-1 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 29 Mar 2025

Espanyol
1-1 HT 0-1
Atletico Madrid
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
21.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
9.02
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
6%
17.75
X/1
13%
10.1
X/2
16%
4.0
X/X
14%
4.51
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
17%
2.21
2/X
6%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
19%
+13.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
42%
Away Win
55%
-13.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espanyol v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 59%
+11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -22%
0.88/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.93
+38% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
13.9 Crosses 15.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.59
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
284 Passes 452
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 33
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.08.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
24.05.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 3-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
06.11.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
17.04.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
12.09.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
01.03.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1

Espanyol 1-1 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
1-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.95 xG 0.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
327 Passes 545
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol and Atletico Madrid couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Espanyol had 39% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 61%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.95 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Espanyol and 1.50 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?

Espanyol 1-1 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 32%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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