Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rayo Vallecano v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
2-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
1-5
HT 1-2
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano edged past Deportivo Alaves 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rayo Vallecano as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 50%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.88 to 0.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.17 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves?
Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 46%, draw 27%, Deportivo Alaves 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.