Salamanca 1-2 Real Valladolid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
36%
Away Win
24%
+12.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salamanca EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.58/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.44
+23% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salamanca
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Valladolid II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 0-1 HT 0-1 Salamanca Salamanca İS4
14.12.2019 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 3-0 HT 1-0 Salamanca Salamanca İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salamanca
1-2
AWAY Real Valladolid II
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salamanca vs Real Valladolid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II squeezed past Salamanca 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Real Valladolid II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Salamanca had 49% of the ball to Real Valladolid II's 51%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Salamanca and 1.50 for Real Valladolid II.

What was the final score of Salamanca vs Real Valladolid II?

Salamanca 1-2 Real Valladolid II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salamanca vs Real Valladolid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salamanca win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Salamanca 39%, draw 25%, Real Valladolid II 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salamanca), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salamanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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