Subiza 3-0 Alfaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Subiza EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfaro EU Bookmakers 42%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+51% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Subiza
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alfaro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2024 Alfaro Alfaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Subiza İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Subiza
3-0
AWAY Alfaro
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Subiza vs Alfaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Subiza cruised past Alfaro 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alfaro at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Subiza had 60% of the ball to Alfaro's 40%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Subiza vs Alfaro?

Subiza 3-0 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Subiza vs Alfaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfaro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Subiza 26%, draw 29%, Alfaro 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Alfaro), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alfaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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