Alfaro 2-0 Subiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfaro EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Subiza EU Bookmakers 30%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.77/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-40% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +108% / -60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfaro
2-0
AWAY Subiza
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alfaro vs Subiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfaro beat Subiza 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alfaro as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alfaro had 55% of the ball to Subiza's 45%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Alfaro vs Subiza?

Alfaro 2-0 Subiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfaro vs Subiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfaro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alfaro 42%, draw 29%, Subiza 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfaro), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alfaro) ✓ Under 2.5
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