Illescas 1-2 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 52%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.94/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.58
+0% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -47%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illescas
1W-0D-2L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
17.11.2024 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 1-0 HT 0-0 Illescas İS4
31.03.2024 Illescas 1-2 HT 1-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
19.11.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 1-2 HT 1-1 Illescas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illescas
1-2
AWAY CD Guadalajara
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Illescas vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Illescas 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Illescas had 56% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 44%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CD Guadalajara led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Illescas and 1.33 for CD Guadalajara.

What was the final score of Illescas vs CD Guadalajara?

Illescas 1-2 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Illescas 27%, draw 24%, CD Guadalajara 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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