Arenas de Getxo 1-0 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.66
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
36%
+9.1pp
29%
Draw
34%
-5.0pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.8pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.37/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.95
+24% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenas de Getxo
1W-1D-3L
AWAY UD Logrones
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2024 UD Logrones UD Logrones 0-0 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
09.03.2024 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 2-1 HT 1-1 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
29.10.2023 UD Logrones UD Logrones 5-1 HT 4-1 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
29.02.2020 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-2 HT 1-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
12.10.2019 UD Logrones UD Logrones 4-0 HT 1-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
1-0
AWAY UD Logrones
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo nicked a narrow win over UD Logrones 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arenas de Getxo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 45% of the ball to UD Logrones's 55%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, UD Logrones led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Arenas de Getxo and 2.40 for UD Logrones.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs UD Logrones?

Arenas de Getxo 1-0 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenas de Getxo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 45%, draw 29%, UD Logrones 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arenas de Getxo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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