Arenas de Getxo 2-1 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.38
Over 2.5
38%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
69%
-7.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
31%
+7.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.0pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 54%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.70/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/0.51
-23% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +76%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 45.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenas de Getxo
0W-0D-3L
AWAY UD Logrones
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 UD Logrones UD Logrones 5-1 HT 4-1 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
29.02.2020 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-2 HT 1-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
12.10.2019 UD Logrones UD Logrones 4-0 HT 1-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
2-1
AWAY UD Logrones
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo edged past UD Logrones 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was UD Logrones at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 51% of the ball to UD Logrones's 49%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, UD Logrones led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arenas de Getxo and 3.67 for UD Logrones.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs UD Logrones?

Arenas de Getxo 2-1 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 27%, draw 31%, UD Logrones 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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