Villalbes 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
2.7
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
33%
-7.9pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villalbes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-61% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
195 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 184 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villalbes
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 2-0 HT 0-0 Villalbes İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villalbes
1-0
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villalbes vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villalbes nicked a narrow win over RC Deportivo Fabril 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Villalbes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Villalbes had 45% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 55%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Villalbes vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Villalbes 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villalbes vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated an RC Deportivo Fabril win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Villalbes 36%, draw 25%, RC Deportivo Fabril 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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