Espanyol II 3-1 Lleida Esportiu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.6pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 42%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -14%
0.83/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.98
-19% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 1-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
15.01.2023 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 1-1 HT 1-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
26.03.2022 Espanyol II Espanyol II 2-1 HT 1-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
06.11.2021 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 2-1 HT 2-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
13.02.2021 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 0-3 HT 0-2 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS3
15.11.2020 Espanyol II Espanyol II 1-3 HT 0-1 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol II
3-1
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Espanyol II vs Lleida Esportiu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol II got the better of Lleida Esportiu 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Espanyol II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Espanyol II had 41% of the ball to Lleida Esportiu's 59%, shots finished 6-28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lleida Esportiu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Espanyol II and 1.33 for Lleida Esportiu.

What was the final score of Espanyol II vs Lleida Esportiu?

Espanyol II 3-1 Lleida Esportiu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol II vs Lleida Esportiu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lleida Esportiu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Espanyol II 35%, draw 27%, Lleida Esportiu 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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