Sevilla II 1-0 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.18/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.64
-6% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +83%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Estepona
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Estepona Estepona 0-4 HT 0-2 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla II
1-0
AWAY Estepona
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla II vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla II squeezed past Estepona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sevilla II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Sevilla II had 57% of the ball to Estepona's 43%, shots finished 11-3.

What was the final score of Sevilla II vs Estepona?

Sevilla II 1-0 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla II vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sevilla II 43%, draw 29%, Estepona 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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