San Juan 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.8pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.1pp
48%
Away Win
62%
-13.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.8pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Juan EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.36/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.50
-58% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +61%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Juan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 3-1 HT 1-0 San Juan İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Juan
1-0
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Juan vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Juan squeezed past Athletic Bilbao II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, San Juan had 39% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 61%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of San Juan vs Athletic Bilbao II?

San Juan 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Juan vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split San Juan 22%, draw 30%, Athletic Bilbao II 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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