Langreo 0-5 Covadonga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Langreo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Covadonga EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.01/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.83
-35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Langreo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Covadonga
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
29.10.2023 Covadonga Covadonga 1-1 HT 0-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
14.02.2021 Covadonga Covadonga 0-1 HT 0-0 Langreo Langreo İS3
19.12.2020 Langreo Langreo 3-2 HT 2-1 Covadonga Covadonga İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Langreo
0-5
AWAY Covadonga
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Langreo vs Covadonga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Covadonga ran out comfortable winners over Langreo 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Langreo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Langreo had 61% of the ball to Covadonga's 39%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Langreo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Langreo and 1.00 for Covadonga.

What was the final score of Langreo vs Covadonga?

Langreo 0-5 Covadonga in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Langreo vs Covadonga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Langreo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Langreo 47%, draw 29%, Covadonga 24%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Langreo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
9 Mar 2024
14:00 Sevilla II vs Estepona Analysis →
14:00 San Juan vs Athletic Bilbao II Analysis →
18:30 Mutilvera vs Barbastro Analysis →
18:45 Villalbes vs RC Deportivo Fabril Analysis →
20:00 Espanyol II vs Lleida Esportiu Analysis →
20:00 Arenas de Getxo vs UD Logrones Analysis →