Venezia vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venezia v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Venezia vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-1
Bologna
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Venezia
İTA
1-1
HT 0-1
Venezia
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Bologna
İTA
Venezia 0-1 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna squeezed past Venezia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Venezia had 40% of the ball to Bologna's 60%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.80 to 1.01.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Venezia and 1.60 for Bologna.
What was the final score of Venezia vs Bologna?
Venezia 0-1 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venezia vs Bologna?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Venezia 21%, draw 26%, Bologna 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.