Juventus vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juventus v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Juventus vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Juventus
İTA
2-1
HT 0-0
Juventus
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Genoa
İTA
3-1
HT 2-0
Genoa
İTA
Juventus 1-0 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Juventus edged past Genoa 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Juventus had 49% of the ball to Genoa's 51%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.94 to 0.36.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Juventus and 0.67 for Genoa.
What was the final score of Juventus vs Genoa?
Juventus 1-0 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juventus vs Genoa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Juventus 46%, draw 29%, Genoa 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.