Nublense 1-1 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.41/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.80
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.8 Crosses 17.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportes Iquique
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.77 xG 2.94
43% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
245 Passes 349
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Nublense Nublense 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
13.05.2024 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
02.11.2014 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-1 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
30.03.2014 Nublense Nublense 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
03.11.2013 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 4-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
1-1
AWAY Deportes Iquique
1.09 xG 2.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
251 Passes 267
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense and Deportes Iquique couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nublense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nublense had 49% of the ball to Deportes Iquique's 51%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 1.09 to 2.71.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Nublense and 1.40 for Deportes Iquique.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Deportes Iquique?

Nublense 1-1 Deportes Iquique in the Chile - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nublense 44%, draw 28%, Deportes Iquique 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nublense)
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ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
29 Mar 2025
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