Union Espanola 1-2 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

Union Espanola
1-2 HT 0-1
U. Catolica
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Chile - Premier League – 2026

Union Espanola vs U. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Espanola v U. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.29/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.50
+29% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.7 Crosses 16.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Union Espanola vs U. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
1W-2D-3L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.09.2024 U. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
05.05.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-2 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
01.09.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-2 HT 2-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
12.03.2023 U. Catolica 2-2 HT 0-2 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
20.10.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
14.02.2022 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL

Union Espanola 1-2 U. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
1-2
AWAY U. Catolica
1.61 xG 0.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 332
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica nicked a narrow win over Union Espanola 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; U. Catolica found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Union Espanola had 51% of the ball to U. Catolica's 49%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 1.61 to 0.68 — on chances, Union Espanola could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Espanola and 1.67 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs U. Catolica?

Union Espanola 1-2 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 41%, draw 24%, U. Catolica 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Espanola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ BTTS Yes
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