Hertha Berlin 3-1 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 26% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.15
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.44
X/2
10%
10.1
X/X
14%
5.51
2/1
6%
22.0
2/2
13%
7.72
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 23%
-17% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.72/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.80
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.2 Crosses 19.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.10 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
337 Passes 392
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.10.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-3 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
21.04.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-2 HT 2-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
11.11.2023 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-2 HT 2-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
27.07.2014 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin HAZ
13.02.2011 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-6 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
21.09.2010 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 4-0 HT 2-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
3-1
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.49 xG 1.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
308 Passes 449
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin beat Karlsruher SC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hertha Berlin as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 42% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 58%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.49 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.33 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Karlsruher SC?

Hertha Berlin 3-1 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 45%, draw 24%, Karlsruher SC 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✗ BTTS No
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