Karlsruher SC 1-3 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.61
2-3 Goals
36%
2.02
4-5 Goals
29%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.88
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
10%
12.35
X/1
14%
5.33
X/2
9%
6.84
X/X
12%
5.86
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
15%
4.07
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.8pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.74/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.52
+27% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
22.8 Crosses 19.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.70 xG 2.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
374 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.04.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-2 HT 2-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
11.11.2023 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-2 HT 2-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
27.07.2014 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin HAZ
13.02.2011 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-6 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
21.09.2010 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 4-0 HT 2-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
23.05.2009 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-0 HT 2-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
1-3
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.89 xG 1.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 2
426 Passes 336
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 7
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin beat Karlsruher SC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Hertha Berlin made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 57% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 43%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.89 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Karlsruher SC and 2.50 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Hertha Berlin?

Karlsruher SC 1-3 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 39%, draw 29%, Hertha Berlin 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlsruher SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
26 Oct 2024
14:00 Elversberg vs Hamburg Analysis →
14:00 Schalke 04 vs Greuther Fürth Analysis →
21:30 Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Kaiserslautern Analysis →