Bahlinger SC 3-3 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
28%
+12.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
47%
-11.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 51%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.23/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.95
-9% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +26%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahlinger SC
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Freiburg II
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Freiburg II Freiburg II 4-0 HT 2-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
06.03.2021 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 3-2 HT 1-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
28.10.2020 Freiburg II Freiburg II 4-3 HT 2-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
24.11.2019 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-2 HT 0-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
21.11.2015 Freiburg II Freiburg II 3-3 HT 1-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bahlinger SC vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahlinger SC and Freiburg II shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bahlinger SC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Bahlinger SC and 2.80 for Freiburg II.

What was the final score of Bahlinger SC vs Freiburg II?

Bahlinger SC 3-3 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahlinger SC vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahlinger SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bahlinger SC 41%, draw 24%, Freiburg II 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bahlinger SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahlinger SC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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