Malacateco 2-0 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
32%
4.19
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.0pp
32%
Draw
21%
+10.8pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 16%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.03/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.88
+11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Achuapa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.01.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
21.10.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-2 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
03.08.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
14.04.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
06.11.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 3-2 HT 2-2 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
30.04.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
2-0
AWAY Achuapa
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco beat Achuapa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Malacateco had 68% of the ball to Achuapa's 32%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malacateco and 1.00 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Achuapa?

Malacateco 2-0 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 52%, draw 32%, Achuapa 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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