Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
13%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
73%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.4pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.90/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.19
+29% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +90%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
393 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
05.10.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-4 HT 1-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
21.04.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
16.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
2-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) nicked a narrow win over Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had 70% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 30%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) and 1.00 for Cerezo Osaka (K).

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 64%, draw 23%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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