Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 29 Mar 2025

Atletico Bucaramanga
2-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Nacional
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Bucaramanga v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.06
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
15.4 Crosses 12.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.34 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
214 Passes 324
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.02.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLSK
30.01.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLSK
24.09.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
11.03.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
14.08.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.02.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL

Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2-0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.90 xG 0.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
245 Passes 259
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga got the better of Atletico Nacional 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Atletico Bucaramanga made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 49% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 51%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.90 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.67 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional?

Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 34%, draw 30%, Atletico Nacional 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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