Slask Wroclaw 3-1 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 30% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.23
1/2
7%
24.65
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
15%
7.3
X/2
15%
4.95
X/X
8%
4.88
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.86
2/X
11%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.27/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.06
+0% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.9 Crosses 18.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slask Wroclaw
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.72 xG 1.57
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
206 Passes 487
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-0 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
24.02.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-0 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
20.08.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 3-1 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
26.02.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-1 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
19.10.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-3 HT 1-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POLK
14.08.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-1 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slask Wroclaw
3-1
AWAY Lech Poznan
2.65 xG 1.71
39% Ball Possession 61%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
224 Passes 375
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slask Wroclaw got the better of Lech Poznan 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lech Poznan at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slask Wroclaw had 39% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 61%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.65 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slask Wroclaw had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slask Wroclaw and 0.67 for Lech Poznan.

What was the final score of Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan?

Slask Wroclaw 3-1 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Slask Wroclaw 32%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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