Cracovia Krakow 3-1 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.28
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
18%
4.23
X/2
12%
9.24
X/X
12%
5.08
2/1
9%
23.75
2/2
10%
7.47
2/X
6%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.67/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.49
-7% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
27.5 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.76 xG 0.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
342 Passes 169
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 5
21.09.2024 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-2 HT 1-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
21.04.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-1 HT 0-1 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
21.10.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
13.01.2018 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 0-2 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
3-1
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
2.34 xG 0.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow saw off Puszcza Niepolomice 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cracovia Krakow as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 50% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 50%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.34 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 0.75 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Cracovia Krakow 3-1 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 47%, draw 25%, Puszcza Niepolomice 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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