Napredak Krusevac 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.31/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.36
+20% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
21.7 Crosses 21.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.81 xG 1.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
201 Passes 258
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
28.04.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-4 HT 0-3 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
30.03.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 HT 2-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
20.10.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-3 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
22.07.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac HAZ
11.03.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-0 HT 2-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1-0
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0.62 xG 0.89
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
138 Passes 383
61% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac squeezed past Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Napredak Krusevac found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 34% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 66%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 0.62 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 2.67 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Napredak Krusevac 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 37%, draw 29%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napredak Krusevac), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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