FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Tulsa v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Tulsa 1-0 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa squeezed past Sacramento Republic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; FC Tulsa found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (58%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 54% to 46% in FC Tulsa's favour, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.59 to 1.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sacramento Republic.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for FC Tulsa against 1.33 for Sacramento Republic.
FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Result & Final Score
FC Tulsa 1 - 0 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 33%, draw 29%, Sacramento Republic 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic) went the other way.