FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Tulsa v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
FC Tulsa
USLP
1-1
HT 1-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
2-3
HT 2-2
Sacramento Republic
USLP
FC Tulsa 1-0 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa squeezed past Sacramento Republic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; FC Tulsa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, FC Tulsa had 54% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 46%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.59 to 1.16 — on chances, Sacramento Republic could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Tulsa and 1.33 for Sacramento Republic.
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
FC Tulsa 1-0 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 36%, draw 29%, Sacramento Republic 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tulsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.