Louisville City 2-0 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Louisville City EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +33%
2.05/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.50
+20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
22.4 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Louisville City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Detroit City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.02 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
295 Passes 264
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 2-1 HT 1-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
30.05.2024 Louisville City Louisville City 5-1 HT 1-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
29.10.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 4-0 HT 2-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
20.07.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 2-0 HT 1-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
08.04.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 1-0 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
06.10.2022 Louisville City Louisville City 2-1 HT 0-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Louisville City
2-0
AWAY Detroit City
1.33 xG 0.55
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
229 Passes 390
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Louisville City vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City saw off Detroit City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Louisville City had 41% of the ball to Detroit City's 59%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.33 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Louisville City and 1.00 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Louisville City vs Detroit City?

Louisville City 2-0 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 52%, draw 23%, Detroit City 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Louisville City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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