Detroit City vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Detroit City v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Detroit City vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Detroit City
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Detroit City
USLP
2-1
HT 0-1
Detroit City
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
Detroit City 2-1 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Detroit City nicked a narrow win over Louisville City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Louisville City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Detroit City had 49% of the ball to Louisville City's 51%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.63 to 1.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Detroit City and 2.17 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Detroit City vs Louisville City?
Detroit City 2-1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 26%, draw 28%, Louisville City 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.