Lealtad 0-2 Burgos Promesas 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lealtad EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos Promesas 2000 EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
2.03/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.00
+54% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lealtad
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Burgos Promesas 2000
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Burgos Promesas 2000 2-2 HT 1-1 Lealtad Lealtad İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lealtad
0-2
AWAY Burgos Promesas 2000
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lealtad vs Burgos Promesas 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos Promesas 2000 saw off Lealtad 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Burgos Promesas 2000 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lealtad had 49% of the ball to Burgos Promesas 2000's 51%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Lealtad vs Burgos Promesas 2000?

Lealtad 0-2 Burgos Promesas 2000 in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lealtad vs Burgos Promesas 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lealtad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lealtad 38%, draw 28%, Burgos Promesas 2000 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lealtad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lealtad) ✓ Under 2.5
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