Cittadella 2-1 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +21%
1.32/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.97
-2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Lecco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.23 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
249 Passes 178
66% Pass Accuracy 58%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Lecco Lecco 0-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTC
01.04.2024 Lecco Lecco 1-1 HT 1-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
01.10.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 2-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
2-1
AWAY Lecco
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella squeezed past Lecco 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Cittadella made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Cittadella had 45% of the ball to Lecco's 55%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cittadella had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cittadella and 0.67 for Lecco.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Lecco?

Cittadella 2-1 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 39%, draw 28%, Lecco 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cittadella), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cittadella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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