Crotone 3-1 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
1.24/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.62
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2025 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
16.03.2025 Crotone Crotone 2-1 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
03.11.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-1 HT 1-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
27.01.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 4-2 HT 0-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
21.09.2023 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
08.04.2023 Crotone Crotone 0-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
3-1
AWAY Audace Cerignola
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone saw off Audace Cerignola 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Crotone had 56% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 44%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Crotone and 1.67 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Audace Cerignola?

Crotone 3-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Crotone 50%, draw 25%, Audace Cerignola 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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