Leopards SC 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.3pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.77/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.70
+45% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leopards SC
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 HT 1-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
09.02.2025 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
20.10.2024 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 HT 1-1 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
15.01.2022 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 3-1 HT 1-1 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leopards SC
1-0
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leopards SC vs Kariobangi Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC edged past Kariobangi Sharks 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leopards SC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leopards SC had 42% of the ball to Kariobangi Sharks's 58%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kariobangi Sharks led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Leopards SC and 1.25 for Kariobangi Sharks.

What was the final score of Leopards SC vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Leopards SC 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leopards SC vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leopards SC 45%, draw 27%, Kariobangi Sharks 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leopards SC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leopards SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
29 Mar 2026
14:00 Shabana vs Muranga All Stars Analysis →
15:00 Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka Analysis →