Ulinzi Stars 2-0 Sofapaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 28%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.01/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.74
-10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulinzi Stars
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sofapaka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2025 Sofapaka Sofapaka 1-3 HT 1-1 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN
04.04.2025 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0-1 HT 0-1 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN
07.12.2024 Sofapaka Sofapaka 4-1 HT 1-1 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulinzi Stars
2-0
AWAY Sofapaka
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulinzi Stars got the better of Sofapaka 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ulinzi Stars as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Ulinzi Stars had 47% of the ball to Sofapaka's 53%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sofapaka led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ulinzi Stars and 2.00 for Sofapaka.

What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?

Ulinzi Stars 2-0 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 42%, draw 32%, Sofapaka 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulinzi Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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