Monarcas Morelia 2-0 Irapuato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
22%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
42%
+10.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
31%
-9.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Irapuato EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.11
-17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Irapuato
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2025 Irapuato Irapuato 1-1 HT 0-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
20.11.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-0 HT 0-0 Irapuato Irapuato MEK2
19.10.2025 Irapuato Irapuato 0-3 HT 0-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monarcas Morelia
2-0
AWAY Irapuato
28% Ball Possession 72%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Monarcas Morelia vs Irapuato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monarcas Morelia got the better of Irapuato 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monarcas Morelia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monarcas Morelia had 28% of the ball to Irapuato's 72%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 0.33 for Irapuato.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Irapuato?

Monarcas Morelia 2-0 Irapuato in the Mexico - Primera A on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Irapuato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 52%, draw 26%, Irapuato 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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