Cancun FC 2-2 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.82
Over 2.5
35%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.8pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
51%
+13.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
49%
-13.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
1.85/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.03
+34% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.10.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-2 HT 1-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
18.01.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
04.08.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
20.03.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
31.08.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
22.03.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cancun FC
2-2
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC and Tepatitlán de Morelos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cancun FC had 49% of the ball to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 51%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cancun FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cancun FC and 1.00 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Cancun FC 2-2 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 37%, draw 33%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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