Torque 2-3 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torque EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 48%
-17% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
0.90/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.17
-17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torque
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.08.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 5-2 HT 3-2 Torque Torque URU
01.06.2025 Torque Torque 1-2 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
03.02.2025 Torque Torque 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
07.12.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URU
15.05.2023 Torque Torque 0-4 HT 0-4 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
28.08.2022 Torque Torque 0-3 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torque
2-3
AWAY Nacional de Football
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torque vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football nicked a narrow win over Torque 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Torque had 60% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 40%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Torque and 2.50 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Torque vs Nacional de Football?

Torque 2-3 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torque vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Torque 29%, draw 29%, Nacional de Football 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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