Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-2 Sporting JAX — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
13%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
59%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
13%
Away Win
17%
-3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting JAX EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.59/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.43
-14% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +79%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
19.5 Crosses 8.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3-2
AWAY Sporting JAX
1.72 xG 0.89
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
205 Passes 366
61% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds nicked a narrow win over Sporting JAX 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 40% of the ball to Sporting JAX's 60%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.72 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-2 Sporting JAX in the USL Championship on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 65%, draw 22%, Sporting JAX 13%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✗ BTTS No
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