Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Loudoun United
USLP
2-4
HT 1-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-1 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies saw off Loudoun United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 54% of the ball to Loudoun United's 46%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.76 to 0.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loudoun United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.67 for Loudoun United.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-1 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 64%, draw 19%, Loudoun United 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.