Miami FC 2-1 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.82
Over 2.5
57%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.03
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
51%
-8.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
49%
+8.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.07/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.06
-16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
15.7 Crosses 16.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Rhode Island
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.69 xG 1.92
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
336 Passes 322
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Miami FC Miami FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
08.06.2025 Rhode Island Rhode Island 0-1 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
27.10.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 8-1 HT 5-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
14.07.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
2-1
AWAY Rhode Island
1.31 xG 1.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
260 Passes 410
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 25
6 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miami FC nicked a narrow win over Rhode Island 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Miami FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Miami FC had 41% of the ball to Rhode Island's 59%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.31 to 1.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rhode Island.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rhode Island led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Miami FC and 3.00 for Rhode Island.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Rhode Island?

Miami FC 2-1 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 36%, draw 25%, Rhode Island 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rhode Island) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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