FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Tulsa v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Tulsa 1-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa and Phoenix Rising couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was FC Tulsa at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, FC Tulsa had 56% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 44%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.17 to 0.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Tulsa and 1.00 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
FC Tulsa 1-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 49%, draw 22%, Phoenix Rising 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Tulsa), Over 2.5 went the other way.