FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Tulsa v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
FC Tulsa 1-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa and Phoenix Rising shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was FC Tulsa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, FC Tulsa had 47% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 53%, shots finished 30-9, expected goals 2.74 to 0.80.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Tulsa and 1.00 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
FC Tulsa 1-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 43%, draw 25%, Phoenix Rising 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Tulsa) went the other way.