Boreham Wood 4-3 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
2.03
Over
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.69
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
17%
3.07
6+
10%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.69 — our 32% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.34/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.21
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 0-1 HT 0-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
20.08.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-2 HT 1-1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İCON
27.01.2024 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 0-3 HT 0-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
18.11.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
28.02.2023 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-0 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
29.08.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-4 HT 1-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
4-3
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood squeezed past Dorking Wanderers 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 41% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 59%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boreham Wood and 1.50 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Dorking Wanderers?

Boreham Wood 4-3 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 43%, draw 27%, Dorking Wanderers 30%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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