Chorley 1-0 Kings Lynn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.68
Over
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.68
2-3
41%
1.73
4-5
20%
4.02
6+
8%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
2.16/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.12
+34% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kings Lynn Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
02.11.2024 Chorley Chorley 2-1 HT 2-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
09.04.2024 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
26.08.2023 Chorley Chorley 3-1 HT 1-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
01.04.2023 Chorley Chorley 0-1 HT 0-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
08.10.2022 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
1-0
AWAY Kings Lynn Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Kings Lynn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley squeezed past Kings Lynn Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Chorley had 51% of the ball to Kings Lynn Town's 49%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kings Lynn Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chorley and 1.00 for Kings Lynn Town.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Kings Lynn Town?

Chorley 1-0 Kings Lynn Town in the England - Conference on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Kings Lynn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chorley 44%, draw 31%, Kings Lynn Town 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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